UEFA Intertoto Cup Quarter-finals
Global 0-2
BATE Borisov vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.9%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
29.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BATE Borisov
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2002 |
BOL
2 - 0
BAT
60%
22%
18%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2002 |
BAT
4 - 0
MUN
39%
24%
37%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 2002 |
BAT
2 - 0
DNP
67%
19%
13%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2002 |
MUN
0 - 1
BAT
71%
17%
12%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2002 |
ZOR
1 - 2
BAT
12%
22%
66%
|
77 | 57 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2002 |
BOL
2 - 0
BAT
60%
22%
18%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2002 |
BRE
3 - 0
BOL
47%
25%
28%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2002 |
BOL
2 - 0
LAZ
39%
26%
35%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2002 |
PRG
1 - 0
BOL
46%
25%
28%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2002 |
BOL
1 - 2
PIA
63%
22%
15%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | -1 |