BATE Reservas vs FK Orsha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.8%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
34.3%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+50%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
2º
13º
11º
36
7º
18º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 77 |
1º
|
74.5% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 72 |
2º
|
40% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 71 |
3º
|
35% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 66 |
4º
|
43% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 62 |
5º
|
55.5% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 57 |
6º
|
52.5% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 50 |
7º
|
26.5% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 50 |
8º
|
19% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 48 |
9º
|
19.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
36 | 48 |
10º
|
21% | |
|
|
9º
|
36 | 47 |
11º
|
27.5% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 38 |
12º
|
34.5% | |
|
18º
|
11 | 38 |
13º
|
34.5% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 33 |
14º
|
47% | |
|
14º
|
19 | 27 |
15º
|
43.5% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 25 |
16º
|
32% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 23 |
17º
|
35.5% | |
|
17º
|
15 | 20 |
18º
|
59.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BATE Reservas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
LID
2 - 0
BAT
45%
25%
30%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2024 |
BAT
0 - 5
DMI
34%
25%
41%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
GOM
1 - 2
BAT
58%
23%
20%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
BAT
1 - 1
ZOR
43%
25%
32%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
BAT
0 - 0
SHA
63%
20%
17%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
FK Orsha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
ORS
3 - 2
SHA
54%
23%
23%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
OFC
0 - 5
ORS
58%
21%
21%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | +2 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
ORS
0 - 1
MOL
20%
23%
58%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
BAR
0 - 2
ORS
25%
22%
52%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
ORS
0 - 1
MKK
14%
20%
66%
|
51 | 70 | 19 | 0 |