De Bataven vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.2%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.9%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.5%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
58.9%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
24%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
De Bataven
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
WSV
3 - 1
DEB
52%
22%
26%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
DEB
0 - 2
LIE
31%
26%
44%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | -2 |
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
QUI
2 - 0
DEB
45%
24%
31%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
DEB
4 - 2
ONS
37%
24%
39%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | +2 |
| 12 May. 2008 |
DEB
2 - 2
SWZ
50%
23%
27%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2008 |
EIN
1 - 0
EXC
27%
25%
48%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2008 |
EXC
3 - 0
GAE
62%
21%
17%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2008 |
FCE
0 - 2
EXC
41%
26%
34%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2008 |
EXC
1 - 0
RBC
56%
22%
22%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2008 |
APE
2 - 3
EXC
39%
25%
36%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |