Batatais vs Capivariano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
40.2%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Batatais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
BAT
0 - 0
INT
45%
25%
30%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
INT
1 - 0
BAT
47%
24%
28%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2012 |
CAP
2 - 1
BAT
54%
22%
24%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
BAT
1 - 1
RIO
52%
23%
25%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
GRE
2 - 1
BAT
43%
25%
32%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Capivariano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
RIO
1 - 0
CAP
35%
25%
41%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
CAP
2 - 1
RIO
56%
22%
22%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2012 |
CAP
2 - 1
BAT
54%
22%
24%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
INT
0 - 1
CAP
45%
24%
31%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
JUV
4 - 0
CAP
36%
25%
39%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | -1 |