Batatais vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.9%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.5%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.4%
65.7%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
13.6%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.6%
0-4
4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Batatais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2014 |
BAT
1 - 0
MIR
28%
25%
47%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2014 |
VOT
2 - 2
BAT
48%
24%
28%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
BAT
1 - 0
COM
39%
27%
34%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 2
BAT
37%
27%
36%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
BAT
1 - 4
FER
35%
27%
38%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
SCI
2 - 0
BOT
55%
24%
22%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2014 |
BOT
0 - 0
FER
79%
16%
6%
|
81 | 57 | 24 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2014 |
BOT
2 - 4
SAO
40%
26%
34%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
ATM
1 - 0
BOT
63%
21%
16%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
COM
3 - 0
BOT
13%
21%
66%
|
82 | 54 | 28 | -1 |