Batatais vs América SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.4%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
12.6%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Batatais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
BAT
1 - 0
CAT
23%
21%
56%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
FRA
2 - 1
BAT
63%
21%
16%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
BAT
1 - 2
SAO
37%
27%
36%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 2022 |
FRA
2 - 0
BAT
59%
23%
17%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
BAT
1 - 4
CAT
30%
27%
43%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | -2 |
Matches
América SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
AME
1 - 1
FRA
10%
17%
73%
|
16 | 36 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
CAT
2 - 0
AME
79%
14%
8%
|
17 | 34 | 17 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
CAT
3 - 3
AME
68%
19%
13%
|
16 | 35 | 19 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
AME
0 - 0
PEN
11%
19%
69%
|
15 | 39 | 24 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
AME
5 - 3
AND
55%
22%
24%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | +1 |