Bastion vs Desna Chernihiv analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.1%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
31.5%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2011 |
YED
1 - 2
BAS
36%
26%
38%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
BAS
0 - 0
FCV
80%
14%
6%
|
57 | 27 | 30 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
ROS
2 - 3
BAS
22%
25%
53%
|
57 | 39 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
BAS
0 - 2
MFK
54%
27%
19%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
CHO
0 - 1
BAS
42%
27%
31%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Desna Chernihiv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2011 |
DES
4 - 1
NYV
72%
19%
9%
|
60 | 38 | 22 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
SST
2 - 1
DES
29%
27%
45%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
DES
3 - 1
ENK
53%
26%
21%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
DYK
1 - 0
DES
24%
27%
49%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
DES
1 - 0
SUM
60%
23%
17%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | +1 |