Bastia vs Valenciennes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.3%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
19.1%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2006 |
BRE
0 - 2
BAS
34%
29%
37%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2006 |
BAS
2 - 0
AMI
64%
22%
14%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2006 |
BAS
3 - 3
CSL
71%
19%
10%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2006 |
LUS
1 - 1
BAS
38%
28%
34%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2005 |
BAS
0 - 0
MPL
57%
24%
19%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2006 |
VAL
2 - 1
CAE
31%
28%
41%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2006 |
GRE
2 - 3
VAL
37%
27%
36%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2006 |
NAN
2 - 1
VAL
65%
21%
14%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2006 |
VAL
0 - 0
FCG
54%
27%
20%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2005 |
LOR
1 - 1
VAL
50%
25%
26%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | +1 |