Bastia vs Valenciennes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.6%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
26.8%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 1994 |
FCM
0 - 2
BAS
44%
26%
31%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1994 |
LMU
0 - 0
BAS
46%
27%
27%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1993 |
BAS
1 - 0
IST
66%
21%
12%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1993 |
OLY
1 - 1
BAS
44%
28%
28%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1993 |
BAS
1 - 0
RED
55%
25%
19%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 1994 |
FEC
1 - 1
VAL
22%
23%
55%
|
67 | 16 | 51 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1994 |
VAL
4 - 3
VAL
66%
21%
13%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 1993 |
NIO
0 - 1
VAL
47%
26%
27%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1993 |
VAL
1 - 3
REN
55%
26%
19%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 1993 |
VAL
2 - 1
SED
54%
25%
22%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |