Bastia vs Valenciennes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
12.7%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 1973 |
MAR
1 - 0
BAS
67%
19%
15%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1973 |
BAS
4 - 0
REN
60%
22%
18%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 1972 |
ASN
3 - 2
BAS
48%
25%
27%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 1972 |
BAS
1 - 0
PFC
78%
15%
8%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1972 |
NIC
1 - 0
BAS
58%
21%
21%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 1973 |
VAL
5 - 1
SED
41%
28%
31%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1973 |
ASN
1 - 1
VAL
64%
22%
14%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 1972 |
VAL
1 - 1
NIC
32%
28%
40%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1972 |
STR
1 - 1
VAL
65%
21%
14%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 1972 |
ANG
5 - 1
VAL
70%
19%
12%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |