Bastia vs Troyes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.7%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
18.3%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
BAS
0 - 3
FRE
83%
13%
4%
|
69 | 36 | 33 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
CLE
2 - 1
BAS
50%
26%
25%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
VAL
3 - 1
BAS
62%
22%
16%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2012 |
BAS
1 - 0
LHA
56%
25%
20%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
MET
0 - 1
BAS
42%
27%
30%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Troyes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
TRO
3 - 0
STL
50%
26%
25%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
GAZ
1 - 0
TRO
40%
26%
34%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2012 |
ANG
2 - 3
TRO
59%
25%
17%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
TRO
0 - 1
ARL
62%
22%
16%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
CAE
2 - 4
TRO
71%
19%
10%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | +1 |