Bastia vs Tours analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.4%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
21.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 1982 |
AUX
1 - 1
BAS
56%
24%
20%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1982 |
BAS
0 - 0
SOC
40%
27%
32%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1982 |
STR
2 - 1
BAS
58%
24%
18%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 1982 |
BAS
0 - 0
LIL
58%
23%
19%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1982 |
MET
0 - 0
BAS
54%
25%
21%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Tours
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 1982 |
TOU
1 - 2
GIR
30%
23%
48%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1982 |
FCM
1 - 0
TOU
35%
26%
39%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 1982 |
TOU
0 - 4
NAN
34%
25%
41%
|
69 | 87 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1982 |
ASN
3 - 3
TOU
64%
20%
16%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1982 |
TOU
5 - 1
LEN
50%
25%
25%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | +1 |