Bastia vs Tours analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.8%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
14.4%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1980 |
NÎM
3 - 2
BAS
54%
24%
22%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1980 |
BAS
2 - 2
STL
58%
23%
19%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1980 |
LEN
5 - 0
BAS
61%
22%
18%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 1980 |
BAS
1 - 2
NAN
28%
28%
43%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1980 |
SOC
1 - 0
BAS
65%
20%
15%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Tours
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1980 |
TOU
1 - 1
LYO
45%
25%
30%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1980 |
ASN
1 - 3
TOU
75%
16%
9%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 1980 |
TOU
1 - 0
NIC
42%
26%
32%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 1980 |
GIR
1 - 1
TOU
76%
15%
9%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1980 |
TOU
3 - 3
LIL
42%
26%
32%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | +1 |