Bastia vs Strasbourg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
35.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2010 |
BRE
4 - 0
BAS
64%
22%
14%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2010 |
BAS
3 - 1
ANG
43%
28%
29%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2010 |
AJA
0 - 1
BAS
55%
25%
20%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2010 |
BAS
2 - 0
SED
29%
27%
44%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2010 |
LHA
3 - 1
BAS
63%
22%
15%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Strasbourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2010 |
STR
3 - 1
DIJ
48%
26%
25%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2010 |
IST
2 - 0
STR
32%
28%
40%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2010 |
STR
1 - 1
MET
39%
28%
34%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2010 |
TOU
2 - 0
STR
47%
25%
28%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2010 |
STR
1 - 0
BRE
47%
27%
26%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |