Bastia vs Strasbourg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
27.1%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 1999 |
GIR
3 - 2
BAS
67%
20%
13%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1999 |
MPL
3 - 0
BAS
51%
25%
24%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1999 |
BAS
1 - 0
NAN
37%
27%
36%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1999 |
LYO
2 - 1
BAS
66%
20%
14%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1999 |
BAS
1 - 1
LEN
37%
28%
36%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Strasbourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 1999 |
STR
1 - 0
LEN
37%
28%
35%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1999 |
LYO
3 - 2
STR
67%
20%
14%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1999 |
STR
1 - 1
LEN
38%
27%
34%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1999 |
MON
2 - 1
STR
69%
19%
12%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1999 |
STR
1 - 1
SOC
65%
21%
14%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |