Bastia vs Strasbourg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.6%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
24.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 1985 |
MET
3 - 0
BAS
70%
19%
11%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1985 |
BAS
0 - 0
MON
29%
29%
42%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 1985 |
SOC
2 - 0
BAS
74%
17%
10%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 1985 |
BAS
2 - 1
SPO
44%
27%
29%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 1985 |
NAN
2 - 0
BAS
76%
16%
8%
|
67 | 86 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Strasbourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 1985 |
STR
3 - 2
GIR
28%
29%
44%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1985 |
MET
0 - 0
STR
65%
21%
14%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 1985 |
STR
2 - 1
LHA
54%
25%
21%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 1985 |
MON
2 - 0
STR
71%
18%
10%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 1985 |
STR
2 - 1
LIL
50%
26%
23%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |