Bastia vs Strasbourg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.2%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
25%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 1983 |
LIL
2 - 0
BAS
57%
23%
19%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1983 |
BAS
0 - 3
MET
52%
24%
23%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 1983 |
STL
1 - 0
BAS
58%
24%
18%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1983 |
BAS
2 - 1
LYO
58%
24%
19%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 1983 |
BRE
4 - 2
BAS
60%
22%
18%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Strasbourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 1983 |
STR
0 - 0
GIR
34%
27%
39%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1983 |
ASS
0 - 0
STR
63%
22%
15%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1983 |
STR
1 - 1
PSG
38%
28%
35%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 1983 |
LEN
2 - 1
STR
61%
22%
17%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 1983 |
STR
0 - 4
MON
38%
29%
33%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |