Bastia vs Strasbourg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
13.4%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 1973 |
NAN
1 - 0
BAS
61%
21%
18%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1973 |
BAS
3 - 1
ASN
55%
24%
21%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 May. 1973 |
PFC
2 - 0
BAS
41%
25%
33%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 May. 1973 |
LYO
2 - 0
BAS
52%
23%
25%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 May. 1973 |
BAS
3 - 0
NIC
52%
24%
24%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Strasbourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 1973 |
REI
1 - 0
STR
60%
23%
17%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1973 |
STR
4 - 2
SOC
46%
27%
28%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1973 |
VAL
1 - 2
STR
48%
28%
24%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 May. 1973 |
STR
1 - 1
MAR
27%
26%
47%
|
67 | 84 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1973 |
REN
1 - 0
STR
60%
23%
17%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |