Europa League 1/16
Global 3-3
Bastia vs FCSB analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.4%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
19.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1997 |
LHA
2 - 1
BAS
32%
28%
40%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1997 |
BAS
1 - 1
MAR
42%
27%
31%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1997 |
STB
1 - 0
BAS
59%
20%
21%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 1997 |
AUX
2 - 0
BAS
61%
22%
17%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1997 |
MON
1 - 0
BAS
67%
20%
13%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
FCSB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1997 |
STB
0 - 1
PET
77%
14%
9%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1997 |
FCU
1 - 2
STB
47%
24%
29%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1997 |
CHI
1 - 2
STB
19%
24%
57%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1997 |
STB
1 - 0
BAS
59%
20%
21%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1997 |
STB
3 - 1
ARG
72%
16%
12%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |