Bastia vs Stade Brestois analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.2%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
11%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
19.9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2009 |
SED
1 - 1
BAS
56%
25%
19%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2009 |
BAS
2 - 1
CHA
47%
26%
27%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2009 |
BAS
1 - 2
MET
33%
28%
38%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2009 |
DIJ
2 - 0
BAS
45%
26%
30%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2009 |
BAS
1 - 0
MPL
36%
27%
36%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Stade Brestois
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2009 |
BRE
1 - 2
DIJ
49%
26%
25%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
MET
1 - 0
BRE
67%
22%
12%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2009 |
BRE
0 - 0
REI
53%
25%
22%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2009 |
MPL
3 - 2
BRE
59%
25%
16%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2009 |
BRE
0 - 1
TOU
50%
26%
24%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |