Bastia vs Stade Brestois analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.7%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
23.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1985 |
NIC
1 - 0
BAS
60%
22%
18%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1985 |
BAS
0 - 0
STL
51%
27%
22%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1985 |
MAR
0 - 0
BAS
61%
21%
18%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1985 |
BAS
2 - 1
LHA
54%
24%
22%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1985 |
GIR
2 - 2
BAS
82%
12%
6%
|
68 | 86 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Stade Brestois
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1985 |
BRE
1 - 1
MET
43%
26%
31%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1985 |
MON
3 - 1
BRE
69%
20%
11%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1985 |
BRE
3 - 1
SOC
48%
26%
26%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 1985 |
STR
0 - 1
BRE
53%
26%
22%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1985 |
BRE
1 - 3
NAN
32%
28%
39%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | 0 |