Bastia vs Stade Brestois analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.3%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
17.8%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 1983 |
TFC
4 - 0
BAS
63%
22%
16%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1983 |
BAS
3 - 0
STL
42%
28%
30%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 1983 |
FCR
1 - 2
BAS
55%
25%
20%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 1983 |
BAS
1 - 3
GIR
31%
28%
41%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 1983 |
ASN
1 - 3
BAS
69%
19%
12%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Stade Brestois
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 1983 |
BRE
0 - 1
MON
37%
28%
36%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1983 |
ASS
1 - 0
BRE
65%
22%
13%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1983 |
BRE
0 - 2
MET
55%
23%
22%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 1983 |
BRE
2 - 1
LEN
40%
27%
33%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 1983 |
STL
2 - 1
BRE
61%
23%
15%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |