Bastia vs Stade Brestois analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.3%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
18.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1982 |
PSG
1 - 0
BAS
72%
17%
11%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1982 |
BAS
1 - 1
TFC
46%
26%
28%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1982 |
BAS
1 - 2
GIR
41%
27%
32%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1982 |
FCM
4 - 1
BAS
34%
28%
38%
|
73 | 54 | 19 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 1982 |
BAS
3 - 2
ASN
47%
25%
28%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Stade Brestois
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1982 |
BRE
0 - 1
GIR
34%
23%
43%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1982 |
FCM
1 - 1
BRE
39%
27%
34%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1982 |
BRE
2 - 1
LEN
49%
25%
26%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1982 |
ASN
1 - 1
BRE
69%
19%
12%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1982 |
BRE
1 - 1
MON
30%
24%
46%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | +1 |