Bastia vs Saint-Omer analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.7%
3-0
13.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.3%
2-0
17.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.8%
1-0
15%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.3%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
0
14.1%
4.9%
Win probability
0.41
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
BAS
4 - 0
LUC
78%
16%
7%
|
63 | 34 | 29 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
GEM
1 - 1
BAS
11%
21%
68%
|
63 | 30 | 33 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
BAS
2 - 1
LMU
52%
24%
23%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
BAS
3 - 0
VIL
77%
16%
7%
|
64 | 36 | 28 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
BAS
0 - 2
BAS
11%
21%
69%
|
64 | 21 | 43 | 0 |
Matches
Saint-Omer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
MAR
0 - 1
SAI
39%
23%
38%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
SAI
2 - 3
IRI
14%
20%
66%
|
27 | 48 | 21 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
SAI
2 - 2
USB
8%
15%
76%
|
26 | 60 | 34 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
YVE
1 - 2
SAI
17%
20%
63%
|
26 | 14 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
SAI
2 - 0
LHA
8%
16%
77%
|
24 | 65 | 41 | +2 |