Bastia vs Saint-Étienne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
43.2%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 1982 |
LEN
1 - 1
BAS
62%
21%
16%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1982 |
BAS
3 - 1
PSG
38%
27%
36%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 1982 |
SOC
3 - 0
BAS
70%
19%
12%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 1982 |
BAS
1 - 1
ASS
29%
28%
44%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1982 |
MON
4 - 1
BAS
75%
16%
9%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Saint-Étienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 1982 |
ASS
9 - 2
MET
73%
17%
10%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1982 |
VAL
0 - 2
ASS
27%
28%
45%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 1982 |
ASS
1 - 0
TOU
76%
14%
10%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1982 |
BAS
1 - 1
ASS
29%
28%
44%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1982 |
ASS
1 - 1
STL
72%
17%
10%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | -1 |