Bastia vs Saint-Étienne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
40.9%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 1974 |
NAN
3 - 0
BAS
61%
22%
17%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1974 |
BAS
1 - 1
REI
54%
24%
22%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1974 |
BAS
2 - 0
NÎM
47%
27%
26%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 1974 |
PFC
0 - 1
BAS
46%
25%
29%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1974 |
BAS
4 - 0
MON
59%
24%
17%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Saint-Étienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 1974 |
ASS
2 - 0
SOC
67%
19%
14%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1974 |
LEN
2 - 3
ASS
35%
26%
39%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 1974 |
ASS
2 - 0
LYO
67%
19%
14%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1974 |
ASN
1 - 1
ASS
32%
26%
42%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1974 |
ASS
2 - 0
TRO
80%
13%
7%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | 0 |