Bastia vs Saint-Étienne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.1%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.6%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
52.7%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.9%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1970 |
NÎM
2 - 0
BAS
63%
20%
17%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1970 |
BAS
3 - 1
STR
51%
25%
24%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 1970 |
GIR
2 - 0
BAS
71%
16%
13%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1970 |
BAS
2 - 1
RED
59%
23%
19%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1970 |
NIC
2 - 0
BAS
60%
22%
19%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Saint-Étienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1970 |
ASS
3 - 1
REI
78%
15%
7%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1970 |
CAG
3 - 0
ASS
45%
25%
30%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 1970 |
MET
2 - 2
ASS
25%
26%
49%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1970 |
VAL
0 - 1
ASS
16%
25%
59%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1970 |
ASS
1 - 0
SOC
78%
15%
7%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |