Bastia vs FC Rouen 1899 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.1%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
18.6%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 1983 |
TOU
0 - 1
BAS
62%
21%
17%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1983 |
BAS
1 - 0
AUX
47%
27%
26%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1983 |
SOC
2 - 1
BAS
71%
18%
11%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1983 |
BAS
1 - 1
STR
48%
27%
25%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1983 |
LIL
2 - 0
BAS
57%
23%
19%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
FC Rouen 1899
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 1983 |
FCR
2 - 1
GIR
27%
27%
45%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1983 |
FCM
0 - 0
FCR
47%
25%
28%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1983 |
FCR
1 - 1
LEN
39%
28%
32%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1983 |
ASN
2 - 0
FCR
74%
16%
10%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1983 |
FCR
1 - 0
NAN
23%
27%
50%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | +1 |