Bastia vs PSG analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.9%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.7%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.6%
68.5%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
13.3%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.9%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
LOR
1 - 1
BAS
54%
24%
23%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
BAS
0 - 2
ASS
31%
27%
42%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
BAS
0 - 2
MON
34%
27%
39%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2014 |
TFC
1 - 3
BAS
48%
26%
25%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
MAR
3 - 0
BAS
63%
21%
16%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
PSG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
PSG
2 - 0
MAR
69%
19%
12%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
TFC
2 - 4
PSG
15%
22%
63%
|
91 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2014 |
LEV
0 - 4
PSG
40%
25%
36%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2014 |
PSG
3 - 0
VAL
78%
15%
7%
|
91 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
MON
1 - 1
PSG
19%
23%
58%
|
91 | 82 | 9 | 0 |