Bastia vs PSG analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.9%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
35.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1982 |
SOC
3 - 0
BAS
70%
19%
12%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1982 |
BAS
1 - 1
ASS
29%
28%
44%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1982 |
MON
4 - 1
BAS
75%
16%
9%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1982 |
BAS
1 - 1
MET
55%
24%
21%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1982 |
STL
2 - 0
BAS
58%
23%
19%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
PSG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1982 |
PSG
0 - 1
LIL
73%
17%
11%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1982 |
MPL
2 - 5
PSG
32%
28%
40%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 1982 |
PSG
0 - 2
GIR
55%
23%
22%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 1982 |
NAN
4 - 0
PSG
63%
21%
16%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1982 |
PSG
1 - 1
NIC
78%
15%
8%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |