Bastia vs Olympique Marseille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
45.4%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2014 |
BAS
1 - 1
NOR
41%
26%
34%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
BAS
0 - 0
NAN
46%
26%
27%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
MPL
0 - 2
BAS
53%
25%
22%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2014 |
BAS
1 - 1
LIL
23%
26%
52%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
LYO
4 - 1
BAS
67%
20%
14%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Olympique Marseille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
MAR
3 - 1
CHI
64%
22%
14%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
MAR
1 - 0
GUI
64%
21%
15%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
GIR
1 - 1
MAR
42%
27%
32%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
MAR
4 - 2
LYO
37%
26%
37%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2014 |
NAN
1 - 1
MAR
29%
27%
44%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | -1 |