Bastia vs Olympique Marseille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
38.3%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 1999 |
NAN
1 - 1
BAS
54%
25%
21%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1999 |
BAS
1 - 0
MON
22%
24%
54%
|
82 | 91 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1999 |
STR
2 - 0
BAS
47%
26%
27%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1999 |
BAS
3 - 0
LYO
34%
28%
38%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 1999 |
PSG
2 - 0
BAS
57%
24%
19%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Olympique Marseille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 1999 |
MAR
1 - 2
LEN
53%
25%
23%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1999 |
ASS
5 - 1
MAR
29%
26%
45%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1999 |
FEY
3 - 0
MAR
46%
26%
28%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 1999 |
MAR
2 - 0
LHA
67%
21%
13%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1999 |
ASN
2 - 2
MAR
27%
27%
46%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |