Bastia vs Olympique Marseille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.6%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.6%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.2%
13.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 1978 |
BAS
3 - 0
SOC
73%
16%
11%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 1978 |
ANG
0 - 2
BAS
31%
26%
42%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 1978 |
BAS
5 - 2
NIC
67%
18%
15%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 1978 |
GIR
2 - 0
BAS
36%
26%
38%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 1978 |
BAS
5 - 1
PFC
81%
13%
6%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Olympique Marseille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 1978 |
MAR
0 - 3
ANG
66%
20%
14%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 1978 |
PFC
2 - 1
MAR
37%
26%
37%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 1978 |
MAR
0 - 0
GIR
64%
21%
16%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 1978 |
NIC
4 - 2
MAR
56%
22%
22%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 1978 |
MAR
2 - 0
ASS
52%
25%
24%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | +1 |