Bastia vs Olympique Marseille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.7%
37.3%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1973 |
BAS
2 - 0
SOC
57%
23%
20%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1973 |
LEN
3 - 1
BAS
52%
24%
24%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 1973 |
BAS
5 - 1
LYO
53%
24%
23%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 1973 |
NÎM
3 - 1
BAS
61%
21%
19%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 1973 |
BAS
1 - 0
TRO
73%
18%
9%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Olympique Marseille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 1973 |
MAR
2 - 0
KOL
50%
23%
28%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1973 |
MAR
5 - 2
LEN
66%
19%
14%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1973 |
LYO
2 - 2
MAR
42%
25%
34%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1973 |
MAR
7 - 1
ULU
85%
10%
6%
|
82 | 55 | 27 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1973 |
MAR
2 - 1
REN
70%
18%
13%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |