Bastia vs Olympique Lyonnais analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
18.7%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 1983 |
BRE
4 - 2
BAS
60%
22%
18%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1983 |
BAS
1 - 1
PSG
37%
27%
36%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1983 |
TFC
3 - 1
BAS
55%
24%
21%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1983 |
GIR
0 - 0
BAS
69%
19%
12%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1983 |
BAS
2 - 0
FCM
68%
19%
14%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Olympique Lyonnais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 1983 |
LYO
3 - 5
GIR
39%
26%
35%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1983 |
MON
3 - 0
LYO
69%
19%
12%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1983 |
LYO
2 - 1
LEN
54%
24%
22%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1983 |
ASN
5 - 2
LYO
67%
20%
13%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1983 |
LYO
1 - 2
NAN
33%
27%
40%
|
71 | 87 | 16 | -1 |