Bastia vs Olympique Lyonnais analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.2%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
24.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 1974 |
REN
1 - 1
BAS
50%
25%
25%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1974 |
BAS
2 - 0
NIC
44%
27%
30%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 1974 |
ANG
3 - 0
BAS
62%
21%
17%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 1974 |
BAS
0 - 1
REI
52%
24%
24%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 1974 |
MET
0 - 2
BAS
51%
24%
24%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Olympique Lyonnais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 1974 |
LYO
1 - 3
MON
75%
15%
10%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1974 |
LYO
4 - 1
REN
67%
19%
14%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1974 |
MET
3 - 1
LYO
47%
26%
27%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 1974 |
LYO
0 - 0
NIC
58%
22%
20%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 1974 |
ANG
0 - 2
LYO
59%
22%
19%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |