Bastia vs Nîmes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.8%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
27.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2009 |
BAS
1 - 2
CAE
24%
25%
51%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2009 |
IST
1 - 0
BAS
52%
26%
22%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2009 |
MET
1 - 0
BAS
64%
22%
15%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2009 |
BAS
2 - 1
TRO
50%
26%
24%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2009 |
CLE
2 - 0
BAS
54%
24%
22%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Nîmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2009 |
NÎM
1 - 1
VAN
47%
26%
27%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2009 |
TOU
0 - 0
NÎM
59%
23%
18%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2009 |
ANG
0 - 1
NÎM
54%
24%
22%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2009 |
BRE
1 - 2
NÎM
52%
25%
23%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2009 |
NÎM
1 - 0
VAN
45%
26%
29%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +1 |