Bastia vs Nîmes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.2%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
17.1%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 1969 |
GIR
1 - 0
BAS
77%
13%
11%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1969 |
ANG
5 - 0
BAS
56%
19%
25%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 1969 |
BAS
2 - 0
SOC
57%
20%
23%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 1969 |
BAS
2 - 4
LYO
57%
23%
20%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Jun. 1969 |
BAS
2 - 0
NIC
60%
22%
18%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Nîmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 1969 |
NÎM
1 - 3
RED
50%
27%
24%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 1969 |
LYO
3 - 0
NÎM
60%
23%
17%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 1969 |
NÎM
1 - 1
MAR
42%
27%
31%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 1969 |
ANG
1 - 0
NÎM
30%
26%
44%
|
71 | 54 | 17 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 1969 |
NÎM
5 - 1
REN
38%
27%
35%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | +1 |