Bastia vs Nîmes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.6%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
22%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 1969 |
STR
4 - 0
BAS
51%
24%
25%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1969 |
BAS
1 - 1
FCR
45%
23%
32%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1968 |
MAR
1 - 0
BAS
57%
22%
21%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1968 |
AJA
4 - 0
BAS
57%
22%
21%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 1968 |
BAS
1 - 1
ASS
30%
23%
48%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Nîmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 1969 |
NÎM
0 - 0
STR
46%
28%
26%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1968 |
NIC
3 - 0
NÎM
62%
21%
17%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 1968 |
NÎM
0 - 0
FCR
39%
27%
35%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1968 |
MAR
4 - 0
NÎM
57%
23%
20%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 1968 |
NÎM
2 - 2
VAL
37%
28%
35%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | +1 |