Bastia vs Nice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.1%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.9%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
57.2%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
BAS
4 - 0
AJA
59%
24%
16%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2025 |
GRE
3 - 2
BAS
32%
28%
41%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2024 |
BAS
5 - 0
RCS
85%
12%
2%
|
75 | 30 | 45 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2024 |
BAS
3 - 1
GUI
37%
28%
35%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2024 |
RED
0 - 0
BAS
36%
26%
37%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
REI
2 - 4
NIC
33%
27%
40%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2025 |
NIC
3 - 2
REN
37%
26%
38%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
COR
1 - 1
NIC
2%
12%
86%
|
89 | 29 | 60 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
MPL
2 - 2
NIC
36%
25%
39%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2024 |
UNI
2 - 1
NIC
44%
25%
30%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |