Bastia vs Nice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.6%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
15.1%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 1997 |
BAS
3 - 1
STR
39%
27%
34%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1997 |
MAR
1 - 0
BAS
61%
22%
17%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 1997 |
LRO
2 - 4
BAS
5%
16%
79%
|
80 | 41 | 39 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1996 |
BAS
3 - 1
GIR
35%
27%
38%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 1996 |
LIL
1 - 2
BAS
37%
27%
36%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1997 |
NIC
0 - 0
MAR
29%
28%
43%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1997 |
GIR
4 - 1
NIC
73%
19%
9%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 1997 |
VAL
0 - 1
NIC
35%
27%
38%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 1996 |
NIC
1 - 1
LIL
49%
26%
25%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1996 |
GUI
0 - 1
NIC
54%
27%
20%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |