Bastia vs Nantes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.6%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
32%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2003 |
NIC
2 - 0
BAS
33%
29%
38%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2003 |
BAS
1 - 1
AJA
65%
22%
14%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2003 |
BAS
1 - 0
TFC
70%
19%
11%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2003 |
LMU
1 - 1
BAS
25%
26%
49%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2003 |
BAS
3 - 1
LEN
42%
27%
31%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Nantes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2003 |
NAN
0 - 1
PSG
44%
28%
28%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2003 |
MPL
4 - 1
NAN
32%
28%
41%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2003 |
NAN
3 - 1
ASN
74%
18%
8%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2003 |
NAN
0 - 1
LYO
33%
27%
40%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2003 |
MET
1 - 3
NAN
37%
28%
36%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | +1 |