Bastia vs Nantes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.7%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
35.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2002 |
SOC
2 - 0
BAS
48%
25%
27%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2002 |
LYO
2 - 0
BAS
69%
19%
12%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2002 |
BAS
0 - 1
SED
51%
25%
24%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2002 |
BAS
2 - 0
MAR
46%
26%
28%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2002 |
MPL
2 - 2
BAS
38%
28%
34%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Nantes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2002 |
NAN
2 - 1
TRO
59%
23%
19%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2002 |
PSG
2 - 3
NAN
52%
25%
23%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2002 |
GUI
2 - 0
NAN
33%
27%
40%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2002 |
NAN
3 - 1
MPL
62%
22%
16%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2002 |
PSG
0 - 1
NAN
52%
24%
24%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | +1 |