Bastia vs Nantes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
38.5%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2001 |
BAS
2 - 0
TRO
44%
25%
30%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2001 |
LMU
2 - 3
BAS
25%
26%
50%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2001 |
LEN
7 - 0
BAS
61%
22%
18%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2001 |
BAS
1 - 2
GIR
36%
27%
37%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2001 |
MPL
2 - 1
BAS
40%
28%
33%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Nantes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2001 |
NAN
1 - 2
MPL
64%
21%
15%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2001 |
NAN
0 - 1
BYM
29%
25%
46%
|
88 | 93 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2001 |
NAN
3 - 2
SED
65%
21%
14%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2001 |
LOR
1 - 2
NAN
26%
27%
47%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2001 |
NAN
1 - 2
PSG
54%
24%
23%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | -1 |