Bastia vs Nantes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.9%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
43.2%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 1995 |
GUI
1 - 0
BAS
48%
27%
25%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1995 |
BAS
1 - 2
FCG
69%
19%
12%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 1995 |
ASS
3 - 0
BAS
52%
26%
23%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 1995 |
BAS
2 - 1
MON
30%
27%
43%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 1995 |
BAS
2 - 0
GIR
32%
27%
41%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Nantes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 1995 |
GIR
3 - 0
NAN
45%
26%
29%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1995 |
NAN
2 - 2
ASS
69%
20%
12%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1995 |
LIL
0 - 0
NAN
24%
27%
50%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 1995 |
NAN
1 - 0
NIC
72%
19%
10%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 1995 |
NAN
1 - 2
PSG
44%
26%
30%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |