Bastia vs Nantes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.5%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
32.8%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 1976 |
TRO
0 - 2
BAS
52%
25%
24%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1976 |
BAS
1 - 1
VAL
59%
24%
17%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1976 |
NIC
1 - 1
BAS
65%
19%
15%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1976 |
BAS
1 - 1
NÎM
50%
26%
23%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1975 |
LIL
2 - 0
BAS
52%
25%
23%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Nantes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 1976 |
NAN
2 - 1
STR
64%
21%
15%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1976 |
NAN
3 - 0
ASN
61%
22%
17%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1976 |
LYO
3 - 3
NAN
56%
23%
22%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1976 |
NAN
2 - 0
VAL
69%
19%
12%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1975 |
TRO
0 - 0
NAN
43%
26%
31%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |