Bastia vs Nantes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.3%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.6%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
40.4%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 1970 |
AJA
2 - 0
BAS
48%
25%
27%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1970 |
BAS
0 - 2
FCR
57%
24%
19%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 1970 |
MET
3 - 0
BAS
56%
21%
23%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1970 |
NÎM
4 - 1
BAS
52%
24%
24%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 1970 |
BAS
3 - 1
ANG
50%
24%
26%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Nantes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 1970 |
NAN
1 - 0
ANG
56%
22%
22%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1970 |
LYO
2 - 5
NAN
43%
25%
32%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 1970 |
NAN
0 - 1
STR
63%
21%
16%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 1970 |
REN
1 - 2
NAN
41%
25%
34%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 1970 |
NAN
1 - 1
ANG
72%
17%
11%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | -1 |