Bastia vs Nancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.4%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
29%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
BAS
0 - 0
LOR
25%
26%
49%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
FCF
0 - 4
BAS
3%
7%
90%
|
73 | 8 | 65 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2024 |
STL
2 - 2
BAS
41%
26%
33%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
CAE
2 - 0
BAS
38%
27%
35%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2024 |
BAS
2 - 2
ROD
41%
28%
31%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2024 |
CHA
0 - 2
ASN
29%
26%
46%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
SPI
2 - 4
ASN
20%
21%
59%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2024 |
ASN
1 - 2
GOB
65%
21%
14%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2024 |
LMU
0 - 4
ASN
44%
26%
30%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
ASN
12 - 0
DIE
85%
11%
5%
|
67 | 8 | 59 | 0 |