Bastia vs Nancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.2%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
36.3%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1992 |
NIC
0 - 1
BAS
71%
17%
12%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1992 |
BAS
2 - 0
TFC
34%
27%
40%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | +2 |
| 25 Feb. 1992 |
MEZ
0 - 1
BAS
26%
23%
51%
|
60 | 8 | 52 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1991 |
TFC
3 - 1
BAS
71%
17%
12%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 1986 |
PSG
3 - 1
BAS
84%
11%
5%
|
61 | 82 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1992 |
ASN
3 - 1
SOC
52%
26%
22%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1992 |
LHA
1 - 2
ASN
50%
26%
24%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 1992 |
ASN
2 - 1
BOU
85%
11%
4%
|
70 | 45 | 25 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1992 |
ASN
1 - 3
MAR
19%
27%
54%
|
70 | 89 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1992 |
NAN
0 - 0
ASN
50%
27%
23%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |