Bastia vs Nancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.5%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
28.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 1984 |
LIL
0 - 0
BAS
57%
24%
19%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1984 |
BAS
1 - 1
NÎM
62%
23%
16%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 1984 |
SOC
2 - 0
BAS
65%
21%
14%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1984 |
BAS
2 - 1
REN
55%
24%
21%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1984 |
BAS
1 - 0
MET
49%
25%
25%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 1984 |
ASN
0 - 1
AUX
53%
25%
23%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1984 |
PSG
1 - 1
ASN
69%
18%
13%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1984 |
ASN
2 - 2
SPO
70%
18%
12%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1984 |
ASS
1 - 0
ASN
47%
27%
26%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1984 |
ASN
2 - 0
LEN
53%
24%
24%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | +1 |